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2024-12-14 00:30:43

Tuesday's rally is a reaction to the big bull market. When we look back and carefully observe the trend of the 924 market, it is always inseparable from the bull market, especially the protection of the market by favorable policies. Generally, it is not necessary to do this in a normal bull market. With the continuous influx of funds, we can complete the rise and all the necessary distances in the rising process.After October 8, the artificial intelligence sector saw a huge increase. The sector began to rise on October 14, and by Tuesday, the total increase reached 37%. This did not count the increase before October 8. If you add it up, the increase will exceed 50%. At this time, you will absorb on dips. Where is this low? At this stage, the increase of the securities sector also reached 16%.In the past year or two, the theme of A-shares was foreign investment and RMB appreciation. This concept has been going on until now, including today. However, Tuesday's favorable policy proposed to implement monetary easing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate is expected to depreciate or begin to depreciate, and the concept of A-shares has been speculated to the end. After all, after several years, few people believe it, and it can only be played by big players themselves. The participation of retail investors is not high, and the big index stocks are at historical highs.


Support is necessary at this stage, but the strength is weakening. Just like the trend of these days, the big index stocks have to come forward to protect the market, because it is far from enough to support the market by relying on a securities sector alone. Since the big index stocks are pulled up, let's just draw the bow.A-shares have gone out of the upward trend today, but the heat of the market has not improved, and the wait-and-see mood is relatively strong. Then why should the main force continue to pull up the market index, whether to start the second wave of market, or to change the size, or to pull up and attract more? On these three questions, I said my own point of view.The volume pile is shrinking, the volume and price deviate, and the market index deviates. The rise at this stage is ship pulled, and now the market fully meets these characteristics.


Today's trend, in particular, seems to be to eat Tuesday's false yinxian. Even if it is eaten, it is meaningless. To attract more is to attract more. It's just a change of technique, and the shipment is not smooth. It's just another trip to ship pulled.It is basically impossible to find out the sectors that have market appeal and can play a leading role. Without a new leading sector, the market will lose its leader. Without a leading sector, how to start the second wave of gains depends on general gains.Third, there is no need to do size conversion for the current A-shares.

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